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JAIT 2026 Vol.17(10): 1936-1949
doi: 10.12720/jait.17.10.1936-1949

Hybrid Machine Learning-based Optimization for Student Academic Performance Forecasting: An E-learning Data Mining Approach

Surapaneni Phani Praveen 1, Naga Satya Koti Mani Kumar Tirumanadham 2, Sri Krishna Adusumalli 3,
Deshinta Arrova Dewi 4, Tri Basuki Kurniawan 5,*, and Sateesh Gorikapudi 6
1. Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Prasad V Potluri Siddhartha Institute of Technology, Kanuru, Vijayawada, India
2. School of Computer Science and Engineering, VIT-AP University, Amaravathi, India
3. Department of Artificial Intelligence, Shri Vishnu Engineering College for Women, Bhimavaram India
4. Center for Data Science and Sustainable Technologies, INTI International University, Nilai, Malaysia
5. Post Graduate Program, Universitas Bina Darma, Palembang, Indonesia
6. Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Koneru Lakshmaiah Education Foundation, Green Fields, Vaddeswaram, Andhra Pradesh, India
Email: sppraveen@pvpsiddhartha.ac.in (S.P.P.); manikumar1248@gmail.com (N.S.K.M.K.T.); srikrishna.au@gmail.com (S.K.A.); deshinta.ad@newinti.edu.my (D.A.D.);
tribasukikurniawan@binadarma.ac.id (T.B.K.); sateesh4u.325@gmail.com (S.G.)
*Corresponding author

Manuscript received October 27, 2025; revised January 14, 2026; accepted April 9, 2026; published October 16, 2026.

Abstract—The rapid expansion of e-learning systems has transformed modern education by generating large volumes of student interaction data, creating new opportunities for monitoring and predicting academic performance. However, accurately measuring student achievement in digital learning environments remains challenging due to high-dimensional data, complex learning behaviors, and feature redundancy. This study proposes a hybrid machine learning-based framework for forecasting student academic performance using e-learning data mining. Student achievement is measured in terms of predicting and classifying learners’ academic performance levels based on their behavioral, demographic, and academic interaction data. The proposed framework integrates data preprocessing, optimized feature selection, and predictive modeling to enhance accuracy and robustness. An optimization-driven feature selection strategy is employed to identify the most informative attributes, while a hybrid deep learning model is used to capture nonlinear and temporal learning patterns. Experimental evaluation conducted on a benchmark e-learning dataset demonstrates that the proposed approach achieves superior predictive performance compared to existing methods across standard evaluation metrics, including accuracy, precision, recall, F1-Score, and Area Under the Curve (AUC). Although the framework introduces additional computational complexity and is validated on a single dataset, the results indicate its strong potential for supporting early identification of at-risk students and enabling data-driven academic interventions in e-learning environments.
 
Keywords—educational access, process innovation, inclusive education, learning opportunities, e-learning, student academic performance, hybrid cheetah-based cat swarm optimization
 
Cite: Surapaneni Phani Praveen, Naga Satya Koti Mani Kumar Tirumanadham, Sri Krishna Adusumalli, Deshinta Arrova Dewi, Tri Basuki Kurniawan, and Sateesh Gorikapudi, "Hybrid Machine Learning-based Optimization for Student Academic Performance Forecasting: An E-learning Data Mining Approach," Journal of Advances in Information Technology, Vol. 17, No. 10, pp. 1936-1949, 2026. doi: 10.12720/jait.17.10.1936-1949

Copyright © 2026 by the authors. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited (CC BY 4.0).

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